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A flow analysis of the link between Irish and British unemployment (2009)

Harrison, Michael J.; Walsh, Patrick P.

A flow analysis of the link between Irish and British unemployment (2009)

Harrison, Michael J.; Walsh, Patrick P.

Abstract:

This paper is a contribution to the research on Irish unemployment which for the first time models the flows into and out of the Live Register. Using the quarterly flow data contructed by the authors (see A Flow Analysis of the Irish Live Register,Economic and Social Review, Volume 26, pp. 45-58, 1994), the analysis proceeds within a small open labour market framework, making use of the concepts of cointegrations and error-correction to model the flows and hence the migratory movements between Ireland and Britain. We outline the advantages of using flow data to link unemployment in a small region and a large region within an integrated labour market. We show that demographic changes resulting from natural increases in population and migration anre likely to be the key determinants of unemployment turnover in Ireland. We conclude that any explanation of Irish unemployment must account for these special features of the economy, and in particular must indicate why domestic employment m...

http://hdl.handle.net/10197/1001

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Aspects of employment and unemployment in Ireland (2009)

Walsh, Brendan M.; Murphy, Anthony

Aspects of employment and unemployment in Ireland (2009)

Walsh, Brendan M.; Murphy, Anthony

http://hdl.handle.net/10197/1556

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Labour force participation and the feminising of the labour force (2009)

Walsh, Brendan M.

Labour force participation and the feminising of the labour force (2009)

Walsh, Brendan M.

Abstract:

This paper studies the effects of changes in labour force particiapation rates on the size and structure of the Irish labour force over the period 1971-1991. The rise in participation rates among females aged 25-54 and the decline in participation among older and younger people of both sexes altered the structure of the labour force significantly. Time series of annual participation rates are used to explore the reasons for these changes. It is shown that participation rates among those aged 15-24 and males aged 65 and over, although dominated by a negative trend, are responsive to the returns to participation as measured by a combination of wage rates, unemployment benefits and the rate of unemployment. Participation rates among women aged 20-54 are also responsive to the returns to entering the labour force, but there was also a large increase in labour supply associated with the sharp fall in the birth rate during the 1980s. The implications of the elasticity of women's labo...

http://hdl.handle.net/10197/1685

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Labour market strategies (2009)

Walsh, Brendan M.

Labour market strategies (2009)

Walsh, Brendan M.

http://hdl.handle.net/10197/1499

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On the causes of Ireland's unemployment (2009)

Barry, Frank; Bradley, John

On the causes of Ireland's unemployment (2009)

Barry, Frank; Bradley, John

Abstract:

This paper attempts to account for the rise in Irish unemployment between 1970 and 1987. To this end a fully articulated medium-term model of the economy is employed, in contrast to the four equation model of the labour market adopted by Newell and Symons (1990) in their recent study on the topic. The proximate causes identified in both cases include the swings in domestic fiscal policy, demographic factors and the shocks which buffeted the world economy. Our conclusions differ quite sharply form their, however, and the reasons for these differences are explored.
A hard copy is available in UCD Library at GEN 330.08 IR/UNI

http://hdl.handle.net/10197/1478

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Payroll taxes, capital grants and Irish unemployment (2009)

Barry, Frank

Payroll taxes, capital grants and Irish unemployment (2009)

Barry, Frank

Abstract:

Paper presented at the 1989 Annual Conference of the Irish Economic Association
This paper explores the role of factor prices in macroeconomic models which embody the frequently-encountered Classical, Keynesian, and Structuralist perspectives on the caused of Irish unemployment. It is argued that within each framework a strong case can be made for at least partial repleacement of the current IDA capital-grants scheme by a policy of payroll-tax reductions for newly-created jobs. Various objections to this type of proposal have been raised in the literature, and these are dealt with here on a point-by-point basis. A range of estimates is given for the likely employment effects and exchequer costs of the proposed policy.
A hard copy is available in UCD Library at GEN 330.08 IR/UNI

http://hdl.handle.net/10197/1379

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Structural change and long-term unemployment in Ireland (2009)

Strobl, Eric; Walsh, Patrick P.

Structural change and long-term unemployment in Ireland (2009)

Strobl, Eric; Walsh, Patrick P.

Abstract:

In this paper we investigate the build-up in male long-term unemployment by allowing for heterogeneity both in the unemployment inflow and conditional survival rates. We construct semi-annual series of the male flows into and out of the Irish Live Register for the period 1967 to 1995 and develop a methodology that allows us to decompose the unemployment inflow by age and unemployment scheme and the unemployment outflow by duration of spell, age and unemployment scheme. Our results in conjunction with other evidence indicate that it was heterogeneity in the unemployment inflow caused by the changing occupational structure of employment over the 1980s that caused the build-up and persistance of male long-term unemployment in Ireland.

http://hdl.handle.net/10197/983