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Political institutions, credible commitment, and sovereign debt in advanced economies
Breen, Michael; McMenamin, Iain
This article tests systematically the effect of political structures on the credibility of sovereign debtors in advanced economies. It argues that power sharing and party system polarisation have important effects on long-term interest rates. Where collective responsibility is high and polarisation is low the market perceives a more credible commitment on the part of sovereign debtors. These arguments derived from the theory of credible commitments perform much better than alternative accounts of the politics of sovereign debt, namely a market preference for right-wing governments and more flexible polities. The principal data consists of a panel of twenty three rich countries between 1970 and 2009. There are tests for robustness to a wider sample and a variety of different measurements.
Keyword(s): International relations; Political science; economics; sovereign debt
Publication Date:
2011
Type: Working paper
Peer-Reviewed: Unknown
Language(s): English
Institution: Dublin City University
Citation(s): Breen, Michael ORCID: 0000-0002-5857-9938 <https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5857-9938> and McMenamin, Iain ORCID: 0000-0002-1704-390X <https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1704-390X> (2011) Political institutions, credible commitment, and sovereign debt in advanced economies. Working Papers in International Studies. (Paper No. No 7/2011). Dublin City University, Dublin, Ireland.
Publisher(s): Dublin City University
File Format(s): application/pdf
Related Link(s): http://doras.dcu.ie/16652/1/1107.pdf
First Indexed: 2011-10-19 05:11:08 Last Updated: 2019-02-09 06:46:59