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The two-child paradox : dichotomy and ambiguity |
Lynch, Peter
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Given that one of the children in a two-child family is a boy, what are the chances that the other is also a boy. The intuitive answer is 50 : 50. More careful investigation leads us to a 1-in-3 chance. We investigate circumstances under which these answers are correct. The imposition of further conditions yields some very surprising results. Not applicable
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Keyword(s):
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Probability; Bayes' Theorem; Probabilities; Bayesian statistical decision theory |
Publication Date:
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2011 |
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Type:
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Journal article |
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Peer-Reviewed:
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Unknown |
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Language(s):
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English |
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Institution:
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University College Dublin |
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Publisher(s):
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Irish Mathematical Society |
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File Format(s):
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other; application/pdf |
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First Indexed:
2012-08-25 05:17:42 Last Updated:
2018-10-11 16:27:42 |
