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The two-child paradox : dichotomy and ambiguity
Lynch, Peter
Given that one of the children in a two-child family is a boy, what are the chances that the other is also a boy. The intuitive answer is 50 : 50. More careful investigation leads us to a 1-in-3 chance. We investigate circumstances under which these answers are correct. The imposition of further conditions yields some very surprising results. Not applicable
Keyword(s): Probability; Bayes' Theorem; Probabilities; Bayesian statistical decision theory
Publication Date:
2011
Type: Journal article
Peer-Reviewed: Unknown
Language(s): English
Institution: University College Dublin
Publisher(s): Irish Mathematical Society
File Format(s): other; application/pdf
First Indexed: 2012-08-25 05:17:42 Last Updated: 2018-10-11 16:27:42